Illzach Modenheim vs Jarville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 2
STP
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
2 - 3
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
RCE
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 2
ILL
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JAR
2 - 2
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STP
1 - 2
JAR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JAR
1 - 1
BSU
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
1 - 2
JAR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JAR
5 - 1
THA
46%
24%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |