Illzach Modenheim vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
JAR
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 2
STP
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
2 - 3
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
RCE
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
RCE
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 6
DIJ
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
STP
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAI
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |