Illueca vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 1
ICF
17%
22%
62%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ICF
3 - 0
TAM
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SJU
1 - 2
ICF
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ICF
2 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ICF
1 - 0
LAA
66%
19%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UFC
3 - 0
LAA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
UFC
29%
26%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UFC
0 - 0
TAR
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
UFC
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UFC
2 - 1
ZAR
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |