Illueca vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SDB
0 - 1
ICF
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ICF
3 - 1
TAR
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CFV
1 - 0
ICF
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ICF
1 - 0
CFA
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
ICF
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UFC
0 - 0
RSD
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAB
1 - 0
UFC
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UFC
0 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 1
UFC
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UFC
1 - 3
BIN
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |