Illueca vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CFV
0 - 1
ICF
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ICF
0 - 4
SJU
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ICF
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ICF
1 - 1
CUA
61%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAR
2 - 1
ICF
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
LAA
0 - 7
ZAR
17%
21%
61%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TAR
0 - 2
ZAR
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
MAF
0 - 1
ZAR
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ZAR
7 - 0
ZUE
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
TAR
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |