Illueca vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
ICF
28%
24%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ICF
3 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATC
2 - 1
ICF
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SDB
0 - 1
ICF
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 2
PRA
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
UDM
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
MOR
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UDM
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UDM
0 - 0
CEL
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |