Illueca vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CFA
1 - 0
ICF
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ICF
0 - 0
EJE
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ICF
3 - 1
TAM
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
ICF
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ICF
2 - 0
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAM
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAR
7 - 0
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CFV
4 - 2
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAR
30%
27%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |