Illovo FC vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illovo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
3 - 1
DNV
65%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROY
2 - 0
IFC
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 1
RFC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HIG
1 - 1
IFC
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
EZU
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MBA
1 - 0
RFC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MBA
2 - 0
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MBA
3 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MBA
1 - 1
ROY
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NHO
1 - 1
MBA
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |