Illovo FC vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illovo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
HUB
1 - 2
IFC
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
IFC
0 - 3
ROY
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
IFC
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
HIG
3 - 1
IFC
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
IFC
0 - 3
MHL
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MHL
2 - 0
MBA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MBA
1 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MBA
1 - 0
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
ROY
1 - 1
MBA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MBA
4 - 1
HUB
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |