Illkirch Graffenstaden vs Schiltigheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
13º
13º
31
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
JAR
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MEZ
2 - 1
ILL
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 1
STR
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Schiltigheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
THA
1 - 3
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 4
MEZ
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
TRO
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
SCH
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
RCE
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |