Illkirch Graffenstaden vs RC Épernay Champagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
13º
13º
24
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 4
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 3
REI
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 0
ILL
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
RCE
2 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
RCE
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RCE
2 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 0
RCE
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
1 - 1
TRO
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |