FC Mariupol vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SHA
3 - 1
ILL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ILL
2 - 1
FCM
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 2
ILL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ILL
1 - 1
DNI
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
TAV
1 - 0
ILL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
KPT
0 - 0
MED
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
KPT
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
KPT
1 - 0
ZOR
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
KRY
3 - 0
KPT
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
KPT
0 - 0
MEZ
39%
31%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |