FC Mariupol vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CHO
0 - 1
ILL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2004 |
ILL
1 - 1
DYN
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 2
ILL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ILL
2 - 2
TAV
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
VOL
3 - 2
ILL
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SVP
2 - 1
AUS
15%
27%
58%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 1
RAP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
MAT
0 - 0
AUS
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 1
AWM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 0
AUS
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |