CD Illescas vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ILL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 2
CDC
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UBC
4 - 0
ILL
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 3
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
ILL
57%
23%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UDC
0 - 2
GUA
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
UDC
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UDC
0 - 0
AZU
23%
25%
52%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 1
UDC
67%
21%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDC
1 - 2
TAL
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |