CD Illescas vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
17º
15º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
82% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAJ
0 - 0
ILL
69%
19%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ILL
2 - 1
YAI
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ILL
1 - 0
CDT
39%
28%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
RMA
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ADA
0 - 0
ILL
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDT
2 - 0
UBC
60%
23%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UBC
2 - 3
MAJ
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UBC
4 - 1
YAI
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 1
UBC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 1
ADA
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |