CD Illescas vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HEL
2 - 1
ILL
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VRU
2 - 0
ILL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
GIM
4 - 1
ILL
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ILL
0 - 0
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
AZU
16%
23%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
TOM
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
QRE
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 2
UDS
43%
27%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
TOM
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |