CD Illescas vs CD Toledo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 0
ILL
66%
18%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 0
MAD
37%
26%
38%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAL
5 - 0
ILL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 4
VRU
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ILL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 3
GUA
15%
20%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PED
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 2
TOL
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
MAD
42%
26%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TAL
4 - 0
TOL
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |