CD Illescas vs CD Marchamalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 0
ILL
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ILL
0 - 2
UBC
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 2
ILL
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 1
ALM
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
QRE
3 - 3
ILL
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 2
GUA
25%
23%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 3
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
AZU
29%
25%
45%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 6
TAL
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |