CD Illescas vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CIU
1 - 2
ILL
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TAR
0 - 2
ILL
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 0
HBA
55%
23%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CLE
2 - 2
ILL
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 2
VIL
15%
22%
63%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
6 - 1
HAL
70%
20%
11%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 3
UBC
15%
23%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 2
HAL
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 0
ROD
87%
10%
3%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |