CD Illescas vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CIU
2 - 0
ILL
47%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ILL
5 - 0
PIE
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 1
ILL
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CRI
0 - 2
ILL
11%
19%
70%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
VRU
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHO
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ROD
5 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
UDS
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |