Illertissen vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 1
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
MEM
0 - 0
ILL
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 0
SEL
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
ING
2 - 1
ILL
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ILL
3 - 0
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 2
ING
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
AUG
2 - 2
VRG
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VRG
1 - 1
186
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
VRG
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 1
VRG
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |