Illertissen vs Türkgücü München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
4º
4º
2
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
17 | 70 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 70 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 63 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 60 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 58 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 58 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 51 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 48 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 39 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 39 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 35 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 30 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
ILL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
ILL
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
56%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
ILL
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Türkgücü München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
TAM
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
TAM
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
HAH
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |