Illertissen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
ILL
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 1
ULM
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
ILL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 1
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
11 - 0
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 3
AST
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BON
3 - 3
SPI
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 1
SPI
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 2
REU
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BAH
6 - 3
SPI
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |