Illertissen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
ILL
54%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 2
HOF
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
ILL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VFR
2 - 2
ILL
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 0
ILL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
SHG
4 - 3
SPI
30%
26%
45%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |