Illertissen vs Seligenporten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 0
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 2
ILL
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
ILL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 3
AUG
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Seligenporten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 4
NUR
18%
25%
58%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
SEL
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 6
SCH
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
AUG
12 - 0
SEL
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 2
BAY
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |