Illertissen vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ING
1 - 3
ILL
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 1
ILL
24%
24%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 0
MEM
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 5
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
4 - 0
VIK
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ISM
5 - 1
RAI
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
0 - 2
BAY
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 1
RAI
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |