Illertissen vs Offenburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AST
2 - 0
ILL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 5
BON
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 0
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
REU
2 - 3
ILL
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ILL
4 - 2
SPI
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
OFF
0 - 3
NEC
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AST
2 - 1
OFF
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OFF
1 - 2
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BON
3 - 0
OFF
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OFF
2 - 1
BAH
23%
24%
54%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |