Illertissen vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+150%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 2
ILL
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ILL
3 - 1
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
OFF
2 - 4
ILL
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
5 - 1
CRA
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
55%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
AST
1 - 2
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 2
SGS
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |