Illertissen vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 2
ILL
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
186
5 - 0
ILL
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 1
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 1
ILL
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ILL
3 - 1
HEI
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ING
0 - 2
MEM
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 1
ING
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ING
1 - 3
186
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
ING
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ING
1 - 1
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |