Illertissen vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 2
ILL
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
4 - 0
AUG
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +5 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 4
NUR
27%
24%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
UNT
0 - 2
ILL
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
WAC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 2
HEI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 0
GRE
53%
21%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 0
NUR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
WAC
0 - 3
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 4
AUB
45%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |