Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
3 - 3
STU
5%
11%
85%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 1
ILL
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
1 - 3
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ILL
2 - 1
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ILL
3 - 2
ROS
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 1
FCP
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ELT
1 - 3
GRE
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
EIC
2 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
SCH
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UNT
2 - 2
GRE
17%
21%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |