Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
MEM
1 - 2
ILL
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
VRG
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ROS
0 - 1
ILL
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 0
186
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAY
4 - 0
ILL
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
NUR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AUG
3 - 2
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAY
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |