Illertissen vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 1
ILL
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 1
186
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 4
ILL
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
ILL
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
4 - 1
HEI
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 3
GRE
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 1
186
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 3
ELT
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 0
ELT
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
5 - 2
BAY
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |