Illertissen vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
HOF
1 - 0
ILL
75%
15%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 2
ILL
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
STU
0 - 2
ILL
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 2
WEI
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 1
BAH
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRE
27%
24%
50%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AST
3 - 1
DEN
75%
15%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 5
KIR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEN
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |