Illertissen vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 2
BAH
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 1
NOR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
ILL
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ILL
5 - 1
KIR
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +5 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 2
ILL
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
ASV
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 0
KEH
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
6 - 1
BON
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BON
4 - 1
DEN
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AST
2 - 0
BON
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |