Illertissen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 3
BRE
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
3 - 1
VRG
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 1
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
MEM
0 - 0
ILL
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 0
SEL
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 0
ING
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 2
BAY
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HEI
4 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SCH
5 - 3
BAY
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |