Illertissen vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 2
ILL
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
ILL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 3
AUG
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 1
ILL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
NUR
3 - 2
BAY
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 3
186
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 3
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
4 - 2
BAY
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |