Illertissen vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
NUR
4 - 2
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 0
SEL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 0
ILL
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
RAI
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
AUG
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
BAY
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
ISM
22%
24%
55%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAY
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |