Illertissen vs Au Iller analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 1
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
3 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SGS
2 - 0
ILL
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
4 - 0
KIR
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Au Iller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SGS
1 - 0
AUI
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
1 - 3
BAH
13%
20%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AST
3 - 0
AUI
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
0 - 0
ASV
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VFR
4 - 1
AUI
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |