Illertissen vs Astoria Walldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
ILL
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 4
VIL
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 4
ILL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 0
CRA
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
ILL
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AST
3 - 0
BAH
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BON
2 - 0
AST
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
AST
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AST
3 - 2
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 2
AST
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |