Illertissen vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AUG
0 - 0
ILL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
ILL
34%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 2
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SSV
4 - 0
ILL
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 2
ING
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMB
0 - 1
UNT
16%
23%
62%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AMB
0 - 2
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 0
AMB
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -3 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ING
1 - 0
AMB
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |