Ilkeston Town FC vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ILK
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ILK
0 - 2
RUS
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ILK
0 - 2
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COA
2 - 3
ILK
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
BLY
3 - 1
ILK
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MKD
3 - 2
SPE
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
4 - 1
WOR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
MAT
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 2
SPE
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 3
SPE
16%
22%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |