Ilkeston Town FC vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
ILK
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ILK
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ILK
3 - 0
RAM
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 2
ILK
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ILK
3 - 1
HYD
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 2
BUX
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COL
1 - 4
MAT
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 0
MAT
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 3
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
4 - 2
BLY
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |