Iliturgi 2016 vs Recreativo Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ICF
41%
24%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ICF
1 - 0
IBR
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ICF
4 - 2
CPH
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
QUE
2 - 1
ICF
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
ICF
3 - 2
IDJ
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAI
1 - 1
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAE
2 - 0
BAI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
BAI
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BAI
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
NAV
3 - 0
BAI
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |