Iliturgi 2016 vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
ICF
68%
20%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 2
CAÑ
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CDR
3 - 0
ICF
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ICF
0 - 1
BER
27%
25%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
EST
4 - 2
ICF
78%
15%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDR
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAÑ
1 - 5
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BER
0 - 3
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
EST
53%
24%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
53%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |