Iliturgi 2016 vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 0
ICF
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ICF
2 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 4
ICF
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ICF
3 - 1
VDJ
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
URG
0 - 1
ICF
7%
15%
79%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOJ
2 - 2
CDC
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LOJ
1 - 4
HUE
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 3
LOJ
50%
22%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LOJ
0 - 0
VAN
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LOJ
1 - 3
GAB
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -2 |