Iliturgi 2016 vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 2
ICF
36%
25%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ICF
0 - 3
ARE
29%
26%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 4
ICF
21%
24%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ICF
0 - 1
ATA
44%
25%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 2
ICF
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAÑ
6 - 2
LOJ
56%
22%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LOJ
1 - 1
CDR
30%
26%
44%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
LOJ
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LOJ
0 - 1
EST
20%
25%
55%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
LOJ
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |