Iliturgi 2016 vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAE
3 - 1
ICF
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ICF
2 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
ICF
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ICF
2 - 0
BAI
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ICF
41%
24%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAV
3 - 2
LAG
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
2 - 1
BAE
21%
22%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
LAG
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
4 - 3
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BAI
1 - 1
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |