Ilirija 1911 vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
9º
15º
11º
12
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
AEP
5 - 0
ILI
8%
14%
78%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
ILI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
ILI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ILI
2 - 0
TAS
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
TRI
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 2
DEK
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NKP
4 - 0
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |