Ilirija 1911 vs Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
DEK
1 - 1
ILI
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NKD
0 - 2
ILI
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 0
NKN
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 2
BEL
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ROG
2 - 0
ILI
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 0
FUZ
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
7 - 1
DRA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
BIL
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
6 - 0
DRA
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 4
RUD
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |